US broadband will reach maximum capacity in 2010
Nemertes Research recently predicted that the broadband infrastructure in the United States will reach maximum capacity by 2010. The study says that the system will collapse because of this overload, but, more importantly, says the situation is inevitable unless there is a 60 to 70 percent increase in investment in broadband infrastructure. The report, titled, The Internet Singularity, Delayed: Why Limits in Internet Capacity Will Stifle Innovation on the Web, says that, although the dynamic nature of the Internet will prevent a total breakdown, users will experience “Internet brownouts,” which are defined as periods of low connectivity speeds. According to Nemertes Research, the situation will definitely hurt innovation on the Internet — a lack of reliability of connection speeds, will likely mean another Google orYouTube will have difficulty making inroads.
The study points out that the lack of investment could be holding back the time at which the internet reaches a ‘singularity’ (a point at which accelerating change creates an unpredictable outcome, such as the Internet becoming independently sentient). Nemertes Research expects the corporate and personal demand for Internet connectivity to grow exponentially during the next two years. Nemertes estimates that the financial investment required by access providers to bridge the gap between demand and capacity ranges from $42 billion to $55 billion, or roughly 60-70 percent more than service providers currently plan to invest. Damn, may be it’s a good time to start talking about this issue - or ban every YouTube-like website. 
Source: TMCnet
Norway is better
OC connection for all!
Hehe, im pro banning at least 95% of whats on youtube
But seriously filesharing is a much bigger bandwith hog.
The will probably “solve” this problem by upping the prices for your connection so expect to start paying more for your gigabytes!
If they have to choose to ban something, it’ll definetly be p2ps rather than YouTube-like websites…
THE END OF THE WORLD IS NIGH! REPENT!
Seriously though, not likely to happen.
The isp’s will limit bandwidth from certain users (maybe lie like myself who dl’s stuff and never watches them=) or invest lots. They are in it to make money. Therefore, they would make less money if the net did not work so there is no problem in sight.
Were the lines owned by the gov’t, then there would be problems.
Although there’s little doubt that the US internet infrastructure is aging, if not already to be considered ancient, this research sounds rather dubious considering that the object is to point out that limits to broadband infrastructure could be holding out a possible “singularity,” which by definition is unpredictable. How can you ascertain if something is being held back if there is no means of defining its occurrence?
I am more excited to know when “‘singularity’ (a point at which accelerating change creates an unpredictable outcome, such as the Internet becoming independently sentient).” occures. Does this mean the terminators will soon use our bodys as batteries to fuel their matrix?
Cant wait to have a metal rod jamed into my skull.
Here’s the plan..
The powers that be, are planning to destablize the current internet in efforts to push a new internet.. And internet 2 if you will.. This new internet will be controlled, censored and propagandanized.
This should happen right about the time the constitution is halted, and north american union announced..
YES, conspiracy talk right here on rlslog!!!
For those that are interested:
“P2P is still producing more traffic in the Internet then all other applications combined. Its average proportion during the measurement period (August, September 2007) regionally varies between 49% in the Middle East and 83% in Eastern Europe.”
An overview of the study taken by a german company can be viewed here:
http://www.ipoque.de/media/internet_studies/internet_study_2007
Its not covering the US in particular - but I believe it to be similar.
this is my first comment, i been using this page for a while now, just want to say its one of the best out ther. About de post… english is not my first language so i have to look out the word sentient in the dictionary… and really i cant wait for the net becoming aware or conscious of his own existance, but if something like this is possible it wont be happening in the next 10 years… but if im wrong, say hi to skynet
saludos desde argentina (sorry for spelling or grammar mistakes!)
Martin, help conserve badnwidth
take your useless site down
where did all the billions the US gov gave to major broadband companies to setup fiber to home and better backbone networks(?) a few years ago?
a few years ago go?*
oh haha Martin
you make jokes about YouTube when your pathetic little site is registered to mommy’s credit card and you serve ads against EVERYTHING the scene stands for
you are pathetic
i hope you guys post the kingdom soon like today cause it’s already out R5…
can you say…Ghost In The Shell?
I’m still waiting for my faster then light speed connection..
Because everyone cares what you think, mate.
Sorry, that was aimed @14
Another scam.
Bring on the AI!
The Kingdom R5 release, 17 min ago..
http://thepiratebay.org/tor/3912940/The.Kingdom.R5.LINE.XviD-ASTEROiDS
R5 of kingdom is out by asteroids on new torrents
@ 22 sweet i thought i was gonna have to watch it in russian
my russian is very limited 
If you go and do some searching around, there are several articles debunking this claim that the internet is going to slow down by 2010. The study was hosted and created by the people who would benefit from government subsidies, if they were to ‘rebuild’ the internet! AT& T, Level 3 and Corning (fiber optics) paid for this study…they would stand to make trillions from the government and then subsequently the higher cost of access to the consumer. Here is one of the links: http://www.theinquirer.net/gb/inquirer/news/2007/11/26/internet-capacity-alarmism
Glad i live in sweden, well established network partially founded initially by the goverment, will be getting my 1Gb/1Gb by the end of this year.
Rescue me, Motoko Kusanagi
Mr X
I will not rescue you.
You are a stupid a$$ bandit - and ugly as well.
Why should I rescue you, when you are ignorant and help to destroy the scene by working at this a$$crack of a site??
Go die
@14 and your here? …your point is?
@29
I think his point was that martin is a kunt and this site is kunt kotex.
To be fair, I agree.
please dont defame my product line
did you ever wonder why we never launched an attack on newtorrents.info?
i will tell you.
because no-one gives a F-uck about that puny little piece of sh!t a$$site.
No-one over 14 anyway.
We will simply deny Martin;s mom credit and then the domain name cannot be renewed.
muahahahaha
Sorry I dont take news from a illigal site seriously
I do love rlslog thoug 
hello my name is a$$log and I am the new Tech News editor.
I hope you guys will enjoy my posts.
I have great news to depart to you from here in Pakistan.
First up, all my countrymen have brown skin, even right inside their a$$es! I know, it is hard to believe, but true!
We also make good curries and love to mastrbate to Bollywood movies!!
Ok, so now I make the Tech News post. Watch out!!
welcome a$$log! give us more Desi pr0n please!!! we do not give f-ucks about tech news, save that cr@p for your momma
RIAA & MPAA are propably celebrating
if anything can stop the piracy then it’s the collapsing of the internet 
(Don’t hope for this to happen 
)
Martin’s mommy is going get raped in jail
muahahahhhhhhahaa
Just part of the “spin” plan to get governments and taxpayers to fund another build out.
Once Americans run out of bandwidth which country will they invade?
Seriously, you think sites like YouTube use the most bandwidth? PLEASE…a site like microsoft uses more than Youtube ever will ! The point here is that many people are beginning to get broadband and there are not enough lines or bandwidth for everyone by the year 2010. If your goal is to ban every site like youtube to try and solve this problem why don’t you also look at just cutting off everyone who doesn’t have broadband by 2010 and only the people that do will have it from there on out…yeah thats so possible too…
BTW. I hate Martin just as much as yall
I would invade Turkey, just because I know they have secret GIGAPLOPAGLOPS of bandwidth they are saving until the end of the world…they’ve been saving up.
Exab(yte)aijan .. what else ?!
41:
While your at it, connect them with eu as member so there might (hopefully, I think 51 percent rate of success) more peace.
American think with invading countries
no good
unless its liberating really bad ones like north korea (never been there but I believe the documentaries)
On tv there was this american president-hopeful who actually said americans should go back to the law thing from previous generations (instead of prison camps with no law) I would hope his ideas (were it true or not) would catch on.
At least the rest of the world never had that law thing. Maybe had but never heard of that myself (/from europe)
Meh, we here in NZ have been having a brown-out for the last ten years.
It doesn’t help the whole situation when they start giving wind-up laptops to poor african kids so they too can leech off the ‘net.
Bring it down!!!!!
Bring it down!!!!!
ALL Knee Before the prophet Martin =D
We could have had all the funding we needed if it wasn’t for that damn war in Iraq. Thanks for setting us back Bush.
Ok so this is not going to happen since most DSL “brown outs” are caused by EMI (make an aluminum box for the modem) and the biggest crap is think of this as y2k1 i mean they should have atleast waited to 2020 and then said y2k2 and we could have had crazy little robot idiots to help us in our time of curling up in a little ball and crying over the internet…
basically 2010 I see a North American Wide Wireless network to solve the problem and maybe I lot more lag across the Atlantic, and if we cant do this we will sell Hawaii to the Asians.
you guys can blame Bush…. and the war
how much for hawaii?
If they would just make fiber optics a standard in broadband, we would not only get extremely faster speeds, but get those speeds for a very cheap price.
As for the “internet becoming independently sentient”, these people have no idea what they are talking about…Next, they are going to start saying Area 51 is the central hub for the entire internet, and that some higher thinking computer program has joined bodies with a cybernetic human to control the world…When will they learn?
this story is bulls…
Read this for proof: http://www.theinquirer.net/gb/inquirer/news/2007/11/26/internet-capacity-alarmism
Whats with all of the “Hate Martin/Mr X” deals here? Is this an inside joke I’m not getting?
You can have my sister!
@52 - Bigtex
They are g.a.y,
and you know everybody hates g.a.y people
‘Internet Brownouts’ …….. they are here already in the UK. Come 7pm in the evening and thats it, the internet grinds to a halt
You should blame porn not youtube for the lack of bandwidth.
Here is pdf from Nemertes Research of original article:
http://rapidshare.com/files/72989486/Internet_Singularity_Delayed_Fall_2007.pdf
Ummm - you should try living in Australia mates…. Slower than a wet weekend in blackpool England..
Mind you with a new prime minister…. ermmm nope that aint gonna help… all promises and lies !!!!
We may not be the worst, but the lack of investment in infrastructure is because the telcos and cable providers don’t want to spend the money and cut into their profits and have a complete monopoly on the market effectively keeping everyone else from joining the game and competing with them to force them to increase bandwidth limits with new technologies.
the article is old.. i read it on slashdot almost 4 days ago. And this is a crap assumption. In the 1990’s the telcos laid down tons of fiber, of which only a fraction is used today. They just have to dig it up, but it is more profitable to strangle your internet connection and share in the profits round-robin. Bastards.
considering that p2p is throttled to hell, isp’s imposing tiny caps on massive 10mbit cable connections, I doubt max capacity will ever be reached. FIOS is worthless if it is not widely used by everyone.
Wait… So somebody who wants money released a study saying doom and gloom will occur if they don’t get money… And you people believed it?
Wow… Just wow.
Something ya’ll might learn if you ever grow up, anyone who tells you the sky is falling is either trying to control you, sell you something, or both.
I kill the jew!
I kill the jew!!
I kill the jew!!!
I bomb Israel and kill the dirty jews!!!!
The obvious and the easiest way to deal this problem:
PEER-TO-PEER